Explore the key shifts reshaping third-party risk in 2026, from vendor sprawl to AI-driven threats, and discover what leaders must prioritise to stay resilient.

Have you ever felt like your organisation’s security is slipping further out of your control as your network of third-party vendors grows? You’re not imagining it. Across every sector, from financial services to manufacturing, organisations are leaning more heavily on external partners than at any point in the last decade. Cloud platforms, software suppliers, logistics partners, AI tools, outsourced services, they’re all now woven directly into the operating fabric of modern business.
But this interconnectedness comes with a price: a vast expansion of the threat surface. As we head into 2026, it’s increasingly clear that a single weak link in a third-party environment can trigger a “cyber ripple effect” capable of disrupting entire ecosystems.
The traditional, questionnaire-based model of Third-Party Risk Management (TPRM) simply wasn’t built for this level of complexity. What’s emerging is a more strategic, intelligence-driven, and collaborative approach, one that treats third-party oversight not as a compliance chore, but as a core business discipline.
Let’s look at the major shifts shaping TPRM in 2026 and what they mean for leaders responsible for safeguarding their organisations.
Organisations are more connected than ever. According to recent industry research, mid-market and enterprise businesses now work with an average of 286 external vendors, representing double-digit growth in a single year. That expansion isn’t just operational overhead, it’s an increasingly exposed attack surface.
New technologies, especially AI-powered tools, are accelerating this trend. Employees can adopt external systems in minutes, often without approval, creating shadow IT blind spots that bypass traditional governance. This gives attackers new angles of entry, many of which are invisible until too late.
The complexity doesn’t end with direct suppliers. Modern organisations sit within extended digital supply chains that reach deep into fourth- and fifth-party relationships. In some studies of extended supply-chain networks, studies show organisations may have 60–90 times more fourth-party dependencies than direct vendors, meaning risk propagates far beyond what most leadership teams can easily see. When incidents occur across these extended networks, the financial impact of multi-party (“ripple”) events has been shown to be an order of magnitude greater than isolated breaches.
In short: vendor ecosystems are expanding faster than traditional risk controls can keep up.
Statistics quoted represent global or cross-industry averages; actual exposure levels vary significantly depending on sector, vendor mix, and supply-chain complexity.
For years, TPRM amounted to a single annual questionnaire, often managed by a small security team working in isolation. That model is now outdated.
The risk profile surrounding third parties has widened dramatically. It now covers:
A fragmented, checklist-driven approach cannot keep pace with this level of interconnected risk.
High-performing organisations are reframing TPRM as a strategic capability. They’re building programmes that reach across procurement, legal, compliance, operations, and security, because the consequences of failure impact the whole business, from regulatory sanctions to disrupted supply chains and investor confidence.
And crucially, the shift is being driven from the top. Boards and leadership teams increasingly recognise that third-party oversight is not an administrative function; it’s a fundamental pillar of resilience.
Artificial intelligence is reshaping the threat landscape, and third-party ecosystems sit at the centre of that transformation.
AI is giving attackers new tools: automation of reconnaissance, weaponisation of social engineering, rapid exploitation of misconfigurations, and scalable supply-chain attacks. At the same time, organisations are increasingly turning to AI to defend themselves.
According to recent TPRM surveys:
This rapid uptake highlights a simple reality: AI-driven risk requires AI-augmented defence. But it also reinforces the need for governance, transparency, and human oversight, otherwise AI becomes just another uncontrolled dependency in the supply chain.
Regulatory bodies worldwide are tightening expectations around third-party oversight. The focus now extends well beyond data privacy into operational resilience, supply-chain assurance, and ESG-related obligations.
The EU’s Digital Operational Resilience Act (DORA) is one of the clearest signals of this shift. Although originally targeted at financial services, its influence is spreading across sectors, setting new expectations for due diligence, monitoring, contract governance, and incident reporting.
Similar pressures are emerging in other jurisdictions, and multinational organisations must now navigate a patchwork of frameworks, each imposing slightly different requirements.
The consequences of inadequate oversight are no longer theoretical. Recent enforcement actions, including penalties against institutions with insufficient controls over FinTech and Banking-as-a-Service partners, underline a critical point:
Outsourcing the service does not outsource the responsibility. You remain accountable for the risk.
The message for leaders is clear: you cannot manage tomorrow’s third-party risk with yesterday’s tools.
To stay ahead of the curve, organisations should focus on a set of strategic shifts:
The organisations that succeed in 2026 will be those that view third-party assurance not as a cost centre, but as a strategic enabler — one that strengthens trust, operational integrity, and competitive advantage.